Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Piper PA-18 Replica, N43LK, fatal accident occurred on September 27, 2026, at Buffalo Municipal Airport (CFE/KCFE), Buffalo, Minnesota

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this writing will be corrected when/if the NTSB preliminary report is released.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N43LK

- History of Flight:
On September 27, 2026, at about 1621 local time, a Piper PA-18 Replica, 
N43LK, registered to PA-18 LLC out of Kalispell, Montana, N43LK, was destroyed when it was involved in an accident at Buffalo Municipal Airport (CFE/KCFE), Buffalo, Minnesota. The commercial pilot was seriously injured, and the student pilot/builder/passenger was fatally injured. The training flight was originating at the time, and was presumably destined to Kalispell, Montana.

The FAA reported that the airplane crashed under unknown circumstances on departure, and reported that the purpose of the flight was instructional.

There is no ADS-B data for the accident flight or previous flight history.

A brief 3-4 second clip from a nearby Baseball field showed the airplane in a slow climb when the right wing dropped and the airplane spun out of control. Given the wreckage location, the airplane was most likely departing runway 18.

- Pilot(s) Information:
The pilot, aged 40, held a commercial pilot certificate with an airplane single engine land/sea, airplane multiengine land, instrument airplane, and rotorcraft/helicopter ratings. He also held a gyroplane sports endorsement and a flight instructor certificate. His third class FAA medical was issued on 8/2021, with a note that must have available glasses for near vision.

The passenger/builder, aged 39, held a student pilot certificate that was issued on 7/30/2024. His FAA BasicMed Course was dated 7/9/2025 (and he previously held a first class medical from 7/2023).

It is currently unknown who was at the controls at the time of the accident, but multiple sources including the FAA mentioned that the commercial pilot was the PIC.

- Airplane Information:
The accident aircraft, serial number KWT-01, was manufactured in an unknown year, but was issued a certificate on 09/30/2024.

The Piper PA-18 is a high-wing, two-seat, conventional landing gear monoplane and is usually powered by a Lycoming O-320 engine which drives a fixed-pitch McCauley propeller. It is unknown what engine powered the accident airplane.

According to a standard PA-18 POH, the stalling speed is 42 mph.

According to the POH, Takeoff, Climb, and Stalls:

The stabilizer adjustment should be set approximately in the neutral position for take-off. Fuel selector should be on the correct tank, carburetor heat off, mixture full rich. The flaps can be lowered if desired, but should be retracted as soon as climbing airspeed has been reached to achieve maximum rate of climb. The best rate of climb air speed at gross load is 75 M. P. H. on both models of the PA-18. At lighter weights, the best climbing airspeed will be reduced considerably. The gross weight power off stalling speed with full flaps in the Super Cub "150" is 43 М. Р. Н.; with flaps up the stalling speed increases about 4 M. P. H.

- Wreckage and Impact Information:
The airplane came to rest nose down on airport property and there was no post crash fire. Both wings remained attached to the airframe and sustained leading edge impact damage. The nose was crushed aft. There was a visible fuel leak surrounding the main wreckage, but there was no debris field leading to the airplane. The tail remained attached to the airframe and was not damaged. The impact appears consistent with a departure aerodynamic stall/spin with little to no forward airspeed.

- Airport Information:
KCFE is a non-towered public airport located 2 miles southeast of Buffalo, Minnesota. The airport field elevation is 967.7 ft. The airport features a single asphalt runway 18/36 in fair condition which is 3200 x 75 ft.

- Weather:
(1) Brief:

At 1622, the airport was reporting calm winds, 10 miles visibility, an overcast ceiling at 2,800 ft AGL, temperature 20 °C, dewpoint 17 °C, and an altimeter setting of 30.10 inches of mercury. The calculated density altitude was 1609 ft.

A review of the icing probability chart contained within FAA Special Airworthiness Information Bulletin CE-09-35 revealed that the atmospheric conditions at the time of the accident were "conducive to serious icing at glide [idle] power."

(2) METARs:

METAR KCFE 272047Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM OVC019 20/17 A3010 RMK AO2

METAR KCFE 272122Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC028 20/17 A3010 RMK AO2 <<<

METAR KCFE 272141Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC026 20/17 A3011 RMK AO2

(3) Area Forecast Discussion:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
108 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry for the rest of the day, with patchy fog expected again
  tomorrow morning.

- More rain chances over the next week with the best chance
  coming on Tuesday. Increasing chance for rain to continue on
  Wednesday, especially across southern Minnesota.

- Temperatures will be around or slightly above average through
  midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 102 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

Peeks of sunshine have begun to filter through the gloomy
stratus that was in place for much of the morning. This has
allowed temperatures to rise into the 70s in areas that have had
several hours of scattered clouds. Our rainy weather will stay
on hold while surface high pressure spreads across the Upper MS
Valley tonight into Monday. The light winds associated with the
high pressure in combination with 60F Tds should support
another night of patchy fog development similar to this
morning.

We`ll continue to see air and dewpoint temps rise as return flow
increases on the backside of the high pressure Monday. This will
set the stage for yet another round of showers that spread from
west to east ahead of a weak mid-level wave. The main change to
the forecast is an increase in QPF from Tuesday all of the way
through Thursday now, with the latest NBM producing a solid 1-2"
for much of southeast Minnesota into Wisconsin. The anomalous
moisture of 1.5" PWATs (over 200% of normal for this time of
year) is a key contributor to the rainfall potential despite
relatively weaker forcing. All that said, confidence is lower
than before for rainfall amounts with the bulk of that increase
in QPF being driven by an outlier in the model suite. If you
have been following weather recently, you probably can guess
which model that is before I even write it down. If you guessed
the GFS, you would be correct. It`s ensemble and deterministic
solutions generally place the stalled front on Wednesday a few
hundred miles north of its European and Canadian counterparts.
We tend to see the ECMWF AIFS perform well with the placement of
heavy precip for our area at this timeframe (24+ hours out),
which would favor the greatest footprint being across Iowa and
SE Minnesota into Wisconsin. Even in this scenario, we do expect
to see the rain showers move from west to east on Tuesday, the
low confidence part of the forecast is just with how far south
that front stalls out and if we stay largely dry or see another
full day of rain Wednesday.

Northwest flow and ridging will eventually build in to end the
week, resulting in a cooler and drier Canadian air mass
spreading south. Any rain chances will be tied to more subtle
waves within the flow, meaning there is no clear consensus on
when, where, or even how much we will see next weekend. The
higher confidence part of the forecast is that it`ll become a
breezier period as winds shift out of the northwest and advect
in the cooler airmass.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

This period will be defined by low stratus. We will see slow
improvement across as terminals this afternoon with slow lifting
of ceilings. Most sites will top out at MVFR, but a few will
make it back to VFR. This will not last long as we will go back
into LIFR/IFR at all terminals tonight. It is a question of IFR
to LIFR for each terminal. Winds will be calm to light/variable
through tomorrow morning. As morning fog clears and ceilings
lift some up to 10 knot winds from the southeast are expected.

KMSP...Slow lifting of the ceiling this afternoon and evening up
to MVFR from the current IFR. Tonight IFR will return and last
into the morning. High confidence on low ceilings, less
confidence on the fog making it into the terminal area, so kept
the lower visibility as a TEMPO for now.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...MVFR/-SHRA likely, chc IFR. Wind SE 5-10G20 kts.
WED...VFR, chc -SHRA/MVFR. Wind S to SE 5-10 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind NW 10-20 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BED
AVIATION...NDC

3 comments:

  1. "The Piper PA-18 is a high-wing, two-seat, fixed tricycle gear monoplane." Not so. The Cub family of aircraft are taildraggers. You can even see the tailwheel sticking out on top in the photos. Minor mistake, but let's keep the details correct. Or is this what the NTSB reported?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Every post you see on the blog is written by me unless there is an NTSB blue link put at the start, thanks for pointing that mistake out!

      Adam

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    2. And a good job you do. So I'm not trying to put you down. Just that some details are nice to have right. So keep up the good work!

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