Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Grumman/American General AG-5B Tiger, N59WM, incident occurred on January 15, 2026, at Caldwell-Essex County Airport (CDW/KCDW), Fairfield, New Jersey

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N59WM

- History of Flight:
On January 15, 2026, at about 1713 local time, a Grumman/American General AG-5B Tiger, N59WM, registered to Hudson River Wings LLC, sustained unknown damage when it was involved in an incident at Caldwell-Essex County Airport (CDW/KCDW), Fairfield, New Jersey. There were no reported injuries. The flight originated from Lincoln Park Airport (N07), Lincoln Park, New Jersey, at 1705 LT.

The FAA reported: "The airplane struck trees on landing." ADS-B data show that the airplane landed on runway 28 and taxied eventfully to the ramp. Additionally, there are no trees located directly next to the runway and taxiways at KCDW. It is most likely that the airplane struck a tree while on approach to the runway (see figure 2).

Figure 1: ADS-B exchange data of landing ran through Google Earth.

Figure 2: Trees that were noted in the aircraft's path while on approach to runway 28.

Lake LA-4-200 Buccaneer, N48X, incident occurred on January 16, 2026, in Anacortes, Washington

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N48X

- History of Flight:
On January 16, 2026, at about 1538 local time, a privately-registered Lake LA-4-200 Buccaneer, N48X, sustained unknown damage when it was involved in an accident in Anacortes, Washington. The pilot and passenger were not injured. The flight originated from the Skagit Regional Airport (MVW/KBVS), Burlington/Mount Vernon, Washington, at 1516 LT.

The FAA reported: "Aircraft crashed under unknown circumstances in Lake Campbell." ADS-B data shows that the airplane was circling over the lake before coverage stopped. Local radio chatter suggests the airplane came to rest inverted in the water.

Figure 1: Flightaware track

Maule M-7-235B Super Rocket, N116G, accident occurred on January 17, 2026, at Yellowstone Regional Airport (COD/KCOD), Cody, Wyoming

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N116G

- History of Flight:
On January 17, 2026, at about 0937 local time, a privately-registered Maule M-7-235B Super Rocket, N116G, sustained substantial damage when it was involved in an accident at Yellowstone Regional Airport (COD/KCOD), Cody, Wyoming. The pilot and four passengers were not injured. The personal flight originated from Sheridan Airport (SHR/KSHR), 
Sheridan, Wyoming, at 0817, and was destined to KCOD.

The FAA reported: "Aircraft drifted to the left after landing, over corrected and ground looped."

- Weather:

METAR KCOD 171556Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW120 M10/M14 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP318 T11001139 FZRANO $=

METAR KCOD 171656Z AUTO 06003KT 10SM FEW085 M06/M12 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP306 T10561122 FZRANO $=

Cessna 172K Skyhawk, N79118, accident occurred on January 16, 2026, near Amery Municipal Airport (AHH/KAHH), Amery, Wisconsin

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N79118

- History of Flight:
On January 16, 2026, at about 1137 local time, a Cessna 172K Skyhawk, N79118, registered to Osceola Aerosport LLC, sustained substantial damage in a forced landing near Amery Municipal Airport (AHH/KAHH), Amery, Wisconsin. The sole pilot onboard was not injured. The local flight originated from KAHH.

According to preliminary Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B) data, at 1130 LT, the airplane departed runway 36 at KAHH and entered a left turn to an altitude of 2,500 ft. The airplane proceeded to do a 360 orbit over the airport. At 1134, the airplane entered a second, but wider 360 orbit. The airplane was last seen at the conclusion of the orbit at 1,800 ft, 91 knots groundspeed, south of runway 36 (see figure). The FAA reported: "Aircraft experienced engine issues, landed in a field and flipped over."

Figure 1: Flightaware data ran through Google Earth, note "1st" and "2nd" refer to the orbits.

The airplane came to rest inverted in a snow-covered field and sustained substantial damage to the wings and tail.

Robinson R44 Raven II, N996NR, and Robinson R44 Raven II, N74730, accident occurred on January 19, 2026, near Parkman, Wyoming

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N996NR

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N74730

- History of Flight:
On January 19, 2026, at about 0910 local time, a Robinson R44 Raven II, N996NR, registered to Native Range Capture Services Inc, and Robinson R44 Raven II, N74730, registered to Twin Rivers Wildlife Inc, were both substantially damaged when they were involved in a collision near Parkman, Wyoming. The sole pilot onboard N996NR and the pilot and passenger onboard 
N74730 were not injured. Both helicopters were being operated on personal flights.

The FAA reported: "Aircraft crashed into N74730 on landing." and "Aircraft crashed into N996NR while landing," in each separate accident entry. The NTSB are investigating the event as an accident, case number WPR26LA083. There is no ADS-B data available for both flights, and there were no additional information online.

- Weather:

METAR KSHR 191553Z AUTO 26003KT 10SM CLR M04/M09 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP281 T10391089

METAR KSHR 191653Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR M02/M07 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP278 T10221072

Bell 206L-1 LongRanger II, N138DD, accident occurred on January 18, 2026, near Timber Lakes, Utah

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N138DD

- History of Flight:
On January 18, 2026, at about 1502 local time, a Bell 206L-1 LongRanger II, N138DD, registered to Dalton Aviation LLC out of Bluffdale, UT, sustained substantial damage when it was involved in an accident near Timber Lakes, Utah. The pilot sustained serious injuries, and three passengers sustained minor injuries. The helicopter was being operated as Title 14 Code of Federal Regulations Part 91 personal flight.

According to preliminary Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS-B) data, at 1451 LT, the helicopter was observed departing an open area near Independence, Utah, before proceeding northeast towards an altitude of 9,400 ft. At about 1500 LT, the helicopter entered a left turn and started hovering over the accident site. Towards the end of the track, the helicopter entered a secondary left turn and slowed down to about 14 knots groundspeed before it disappeared from coverage (figure 1).

Figure 1: Flightaware end of track data ran through Google Earth

Two online videos captured the accident sequence, the helicopter appeared to hover over snowy mountainous wooded terrain when it entered a right yaw, which was not corrected and developed into an uncontrollable spin. The helicopter descended into trees before coming to rest. Neither video showed the actual approach to the accident area.

In the second video, a group of people (one of them who captured the first video) were observed next to a stationary Robinson helicopter and a group of cars. It is most likely that the Bell was coming in for a landing before the accident sequence (figure 2).

Figure 2: View of cars, witnesses, and stationary Robinson helicopter.

- Pilot Information:
Unknown.

- Aircraft Information:
The accident helicopter, serial number 45199, was manufactured in 1979. It was powered by an Allison Model 250 engine.

- Wreckage and Impact Information:
The helicopter clipped several trees before coming to rest on its right side. The helicopter was mostly intact, but sustained substantial damage. There was no post crash fire. The estimated accident site elevation was 9400 ft.

- Weather:

Based on ADS-B data, accident site elevation, and weather conditions at the time, the calculated density altitude was around 10,000 ft.

(1) METARs:

METAR KU69 182135Z AUTO 10007KT 10SM CLR 04/M12 A3018 RMK A01

METAR KU69 182155Z AUTO 13007KT 10SM CLR 04/M12 A3017 RMK A01

METAR KU69 182215Z AUTO 12007KT 10SM CLR 04/M12 A3017 RMK A01

METAR KU69 182235Z AUTO 12006KT 10SM CLR 04/M12 A3017 RMK A01

METAR KHCR 182135Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 07/M09 A3018 RMK AO2 T00661089 $

METAR KHCR 182155Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 08/M09 A3017 RMK AO2 T00791087 $

METAR KHCR 182215Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 08/M08 A3017 RMK AO2 T00761083 $

METAR KHCR 182235Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 08/M09 A3016 RMK AO2 T00761085 $

(2) Area Forecast Discussion:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
313 PM MST Sun Jan 18 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Valley inversions look to weaken through tomorrow with some
redevelopment possible by Tuesday afternoon.

- Precipitation chances appear to have trended later in time, with
our next best shot around the Friday-Sunday timeframe. The majority
of 12z ensemble members support this, with roughly ~50% favoring
northern UT.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Looking at the 12z upper air sounding from KSLC, it
appears that a warm layer aloft remains, though it has lifted
somewhat higher as the boundary layer deepens. As such, we can
expect another day of improved air quality and visibilities across
much of northern UT today. Additionally, this will encourage mixing
yielding drier air at the surface today compared to some of the more
humid conditions the past few days which yielded low stratus and
instances of patchy fog.

Currently, a longwave trough is slowly progressing east with its
axis positioned across the Southeastern U.S. while ridging to our
southwest gradually regresses further south. This will continue
ushering in northwesterly flow on the backside of the aforementioned
large upper trough through at least Wednesday. Within this flow,
embedded perturbations will clip northern UT each day enabling some
colder air aloft with enhanced flow, serving to cool down and mix
above the boundary layer and perhaps lifting inversions higher as a
result. A weak frontal boundary may pass through northern UT Tuesday
afternoon, though confidence has decreased somewhat regarding the
overall magnitude and if it will lift the inversion further. As
such, haze (at or below 6SM visibilities) will remain in the
forecast Tuesday afternoon through Thursday evening.

Forecast confidence regarding our next shot at precipitation has
unfortunately all but improved as we approach the weekend. While the
general consensus among ensemble members supports troughing across
the Western U.S., the timing and positioning have diverged quite
substantially. Looking at current ensembles, it appears we have
returned to early season form with southern UT being favored due to
a southern storm track, though much of UT and SW WY can expect to
see at least a trace of precipitation. For solutions favoring
northern UT, roughly ~50% of ensemble guidance supports more than a
trace of precipitation from the Fri-Sun timeframe. The silver lining
with this set up, at least, is that enough cold air should advect
into the area to scour inversions and improve air quality as we
enter the weekend.

.AVIATION...KSLC...VFR conditions are expected to prevail through
the forecast period under mostly clear skies. There is around a 20%
chance or lower that visibilities will dip into MVFR or below late
tonight into Monday morning. Light north to northwesterly winds are
expected to continue through Monday afternoon, with periods of light
and variable winds.

.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions are expected
to prevail across all terminals through the forecast period,
although there is around a 20% chance that visibilities will dip
into MVFR or lower late tonight into Monday morning mainly near the
Idaho border. Winds will remain generally light and terrain driven
through much of the period, with light northerly winds becoming more
widespread across northern and western Utah through the evening
hours.

- Additional Information:

Loss of Tail Rotor Effectiveness

The Federal Aviation Administration has published the Helicopter Flying Handbook FAA-H-8083-21A (2012).This handbook discusses loss of tail rotor effectiveness and states in part:

Loss of tail rotor effectiveness (LTE) or an unanticipated yaw is defined as an uncommanded, rapid yaw towards the advancing blade which does not subside of its own accord. It can result in the loss of the aircraft if left unchecked. It is very important for pilots to understand that LTE is caused by an aerodynamic interaction between the main rotor and tail rotor and not caused from a mechanical failure. Some helicopter types are more likely to encounter LTE due to the normal certification thrust produced by having a tail rotor that, although meeting certification standards, is not always able to produce the additional thrust demanded by the pilot.

LTE is an aerodynamic condition and is the result of a control margin deficiency in the tail rotor. It can affect all single rotor helicopters that utilize a tail rotor of some design. The design of main and tail rotor blades and the tail boom assembly can affect the characteristics and susceptibility of LTE but will not nullify the phenomenon entirely.

Piper PA-28-140 Cherokee, N6711J, fatal accident occurred on January 18, 2026, near Holly Springs-Marshall County Airport (M41), Holly Springs, Mississippi

This is preliminary information, subject to change, and may contain errors. Any errors in this report will be corrected when the final report has been completed.

https://registry.faa.gov/AircraftInquiry/Search/NNumberResult?nNumberTxt=N6711J

- History of Flight:
On January 18, 2026, at about 1700 local time, a Piper PA-28-140 Cherokee, N6711J, registered to Firecrest LLC out of Holly Springs, MS, was destroyed when it was involved in an accident near Holly Springs-Marshall County Airport (M41), Holly Springs, Mississippi. The certified flight instructor and student pilot were fatally injured.

There is no ADS-B data or flight-tracking coverage for the accident flight.

Local news reported that the aircraft impacted trees east of the airport and a post crash fire ensued.

- Pilot Information:
The CFI, aged 29, held a commercial pilot certificate, and an instrument rating. He also held a second class FAA medical.

The second occupant, aged 17, held a student pilot certificate (issued/updated 10/6/2025).

- Aircraft Information:
The accident aircraft, serial number 28-24408, was manufactured in 1968. It was fixed gear, 4-seat, single engine, low-wing, airplane. It was powered by a Lycoming O-320 engine.

- Airport Information:
M41 is a non-towered public airport located 4 miles west of Holly Springs, Mississippi. The airport field elevation was 551.3 ft. The airport features a single ashpalt runway 18/36 that is 3202 ft x 60 ft. Each runway features an RNAV (GPS) approach.

- Weather:

The nearest weather observation station, KOLV, reported the following conditions at 1650 LT: Winds from 200° at 10 knots, 10 mile visbility, no clouds under 12,000 ft (CLR), temperature 0°C, dewpoint -13°C, and an altimeter setting of 30.10 inches of mercury.

Figure: FAA Carburetor Icing probability chart.

(1) METARs:

METAR KOLV 182250Z 20010KT 10SM CLR 00/M13 A3010

METAR KOLV 182350Z 23007KT 10SM CLR M01/M13 A3012

(2) Area Forecast Discussion:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1151 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

- Cold and dry conditions will continue through Tuesday morning.
  The coldest wind chills are expected early Monday morning,
  dropping as low as 10 to 15 degrees north of Interstate 40.

- Temperatures will moderate by Tuesday afternoon, with highs
  reaching the upper 30s to mid 40s.

- Light rain will spread into the Midsouth on Wednesday, ahead of
  cold frontal passage Wednesday night. Very light snow or sleet
  could occur over northwest Tennessee Wednesday morning, before
  changing over to light rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through next Saturday)
Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

Through midweek, the upper level pattern will be characterized by
a broad longwave trough over the eastern CONUS, downstream of
ridging along the west coast. During this period, gradual
deamplification will occur, resulting in zonal flow over the
lower MS River valley by Tuesday. At the surface, southerly low
level return flow and milder temperatures will arrive Tuesday
afternoon.

The pattern deamplification will result in a more favorable fetch
of midlevel southern branch moisture, ahead of a northern branch
shortwave trough. Model consensus depicts this system arriving
about six hours earlier than yesterday`s models depicted, led by
06Z ECMWF members and reflected in today`s 12Z operational GFS.
Besides an earlier onset of rain showers Wednesday, the implications
for the Midsouth include a brief chance of light snow or sleet
over northwest TN Wednesday morning. At this time, moisture
appears to be modest and confined to the midlevels. As such no
winter precipitation accumulations are expected prior to a
changeover to light rain toward midday on Wednesday.

The faster precipitation timing should result in limited mixed
precipitation chances Wednesday night, with most precip ending by
time post-frontal thermal profiles become favorable for wintry
precip.

For Friday and early Saturday, model consensus remains fairly
tight with respect to maintaining zonal flow over the Midsouth.
By day 8 (Sunday), 00Z/06Z model consensus begins to break down
with respect to southern branch energy off the west coast, and
downstream moisture across the southern plains and lower MS River
valley. The takeaway: the forecast for next weekend may be in
flux for a few days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

VFR conditions expected through the entire TAF period at all
terminals. Therefore, the TAF is primarily a wind driven forecast
as a reinforcing front traverses the region tonight. As the front
passes, westerly winds will veer northwesterly and increase in
speed through tonight. At the same time, 35 to 40 knot, westerly
wind shear is forecast at 2000 ft for MEM/MKL/TUP from 02z
through 08z. Northwesterlies and VFR will continue Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1151 AM CST Sun Jan 18 2026

Very dry polar air will prevail over the Midsouth through Monday.
Despite much colder than normal temperatures, minimum relative
humidity will range from 25 to 35 percent through the period.
Temperatures will moderate on Tuesday, but moisture return will
lag, resulting in minimum relative humidity of 20 to 25 percent
over much of the Midsouth Tuesday afternoon. Low chances of
wetting rainfall return Wednesday, followed by moderate minimum
humidity levels late in the week.

- Additional Information:
None